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PERSONAL INCOME AND OUTLAYS, OCTOBER 2016
Personal income increased $98.6 billion (0.6 percent) in October according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $86.5 billion (0.6 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $38.1 billion (0.3 percent). Real DPI increased 0.4 percent in October and Real PCE increased 0.1 percent. The PCE price index increased 0.2 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.1 percent. 2016 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Percent change from preceding month Personal income: Current dollars 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 Disposable personal income: Current dollars 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.6 Chained (2009) dollars 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 Personal consumption expenditures (PCE): Current dollars 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.3 Chained (2009) dollars 0.4 0.3 -0.1 0.5 0.1 Price indexes: PCE 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 PCE, excluding food and energy 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 Price indexes: Percent change from month one year ago PCE 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 PCE, excluding food and energy 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 The increase in personal income in October primarily reflected increases in compensation of employees and personal interest income (table 3). The increase in real PCE in October reflected increases in spending for durable and nondurable goods, which were mostly offset by a decrease in spending for services (table 7). Personal outlays increased $40.4 billion in October (table 3). Personal saving was $860.2 billion in October and the personal saving rate, personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income, was 6.0 percent (table 1). Updates Estimates have been updated for April through September. The percent change from the preceding month for current-dollar personal income, and for current-dollar and chained (2009) dollar DPI and PCE -- revised and as published in last month's release -- are shown below. Change from preceding month August September Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised (Billions of dollars) (Percent) (Billions of dollars) (Percent) Personal income: Current dollars 35.2 40.8 0.2 0.3 46.7 63.2 0.3 0.4 Disposable personal income: Current dollars 27.7 32.0 0.2 0.2 37.0 51.1 0.3 0.4 Chained (2009) dollars 4.4 8.7 0.0 0.1 6.3 20.0 0.0 0.2 Personal consumption expenditures: Current dollars -8.0 5.5 -0.1 0.0 61.0 89.5 0.5 0.7 Chained (2009) dollars -26.0 -13.3 -0.2 -0.1 30.4 57.0 0.3 0.5 BOX._______________ QCEW Data Included in the Second Quarter of 2016 This news release includes revised estimates of wages and salaries, personal taxes, and contributions for government social insurance for April through June 2016 (second quarter). These estimates reflect the incorporation of the most recently available second-quarter wage and salary tabulations from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) program from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. ___________________ Next release: December 22, 2016 at 10:00 A.M. EST Personal Income and Outlays: November 2016 Additional Information Resources Additional Resources available at www.bea.gov: * Stay informed about BEA developments by reading the BEA blog, signing up for BEA’s email subscription service, or following BEA on Twitter @BEA_News. * Historical time series for these estimates can be accessed in BEA’s Interactive Data Application. * Access BEA data by registering for BEA’s Data Application Programming Interface (API). * For more on BEA’s statistics, see our monthly online journal, the Survey of Current Business. * BEA's news release schedule * NIPA Handbook: Concepts and Methods of the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts Definitions Personal income is the income received by, or on behalf of, all persons from all sources: from participation as laborers in production, from owning a home or business, from the ownership of financial assets, and from government and business in the form of transfers. It includes income from domestic sources as well as the rest of world. It does not include realized or unrealized capital gains or losses. Disposable personal income is the income available to persons for spending or saving. It is equal to personal income less personal current taxes. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is the value of the goods and services purchased by, or on the behalf of, “persons” who reside in the United States. Personal outlays is the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments. Personal saving is personal income less personal outlays and personal current taxes. The personal saving rate is personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income. Current-dollar estimates are valued in the prices of the period when the transactions occurred—that is, at “market value.” Also referred to as “nominal estimates” or as “current-price estimates.” Real values are inflation-adjusted estimates—that is, estimates that exclude the effects of price changes. For more definitions, see the Glossary: National Income and Product Accounts. Statistical conventions Annual rates. Monthly and quarterly values are expressed at seasonally-adjusted annual rates (SAAR). Dollar changes are calculated as the difference between these SAAR values. For detail, see the FAQ “Why does BEA publish estimates at annual rates?” Month-to-month percent changes are calculated from unrounded data and are not annualized. Quarter-to-quarter percent changes are calculated from unrounded data and are displayed at annual rates. For detail, see the FAQ “How is average annual growth calculated?” Quantities and prices. Quantities, or “real” volume measures, and prices are expressed as index numbers with a specified reference year equal to 100 (currently 2009). Quantity and price indexes are calculated using a Fisher-chained weighted formula that incorporates weights from two adjacent periods (quarters for quarterly data and annuals for annual data). “Real” dollar series are calculated by multiplying the published quantity index by the current dollar value in the reference year (2009) and then dividing by 100. Percent changes calculated from real quantity indexes and chained-dollar levels are conceptually the same; any differences are due to rounding. Chained-dollar values are not additive because the relative weights for a given period differ from those of the reference year.