February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

June 2018 Trade Gap is $46.3 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in June 2018 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $43.2 billion in May (revised) to $46.3 billion in June, as exports decreased and imports increased. The previously published May deficit was $43.1 billion. The goods deficit increased $3.1 billion in June to $68.8 billion. The services surplus decreased less than $0.1…

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, June 2018

| News Release

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in June 2018 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $43.2 billion in May(revised) to $46.3 billion in June, as exports decreased and imports increased. The previously published May deficit was $43.1 billion. The goods deficit increased $3.1 billion in June to $68.8 billion. The services surplus decreased less than $0.1 billion…

Real Disposable Income Rises in June

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased 0.4 percent in June, the same increase as in May. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.4 percent in June after increasing 0.3 percent in May.

Personal Income and Outlays, June 2018

| News Release

Personal income increased 0.4 percent in June, the same increase as in May. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.4 percent in June after increasing 0.3 percent in May.

Direct Investment by Country and Industry: 2017

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. direct investment abroad position, or cumulative level of investment, increased $427.3 billion to $6,013.3 billion at the end of 2017 from $5,586.0 billion at the end of 2016. The increase mainly reflected a $243.6 billion increase in the position in Europe, primarily in Switzerland, the United Kingdom, Ireland, and the Netherlands. By industry, affiliates in manufacturing and holding companies accounted for the largest increases.…

Direct Investment by Country and Industry, 2017

| News Release

In 2017, the U.S. direct investment abroad position increased to $6,013.3 billion and the foreign direct investment in the United States position increased to $4,025.5 billion, according to statistics released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The increases were mainly due to increased investment with countries in Europe.

GDP Increases in Second Quarter

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 4.1 percent in the second quarter of 2018, according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 2.2 percent (revised).

BEA’s 15th Comprehensive Update Improves Measurement of the Economy

| The BEA Wire

BEA has updated gross domestic product and related statistics covering the past five years, and in some cases reaching back decades, to reflect newly available source data; improved seasonal adjustment; innovations in measuring the prices of software, medical equipment, and cellphones; and more.

Gross Domestic Product, 2nd quarter 2018 (advance estimate), and comprehensive update

| News Release

Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 4.1 percent in the second quarter of 2018 (table 1), according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 2.2 percent (revised).