February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

Real Disposable Personal Income Rises in October

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased 0.4 percent in October, the same increase as in September. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.3 percent in October after increasing 0.5 percent in September.

Personal Income and Outlays, October 2017

| News Release

Personal income increased $65.1 billion (0.4 percent) in October according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $66.1 billion (0.5 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $34.4 billion (0.3 percent).

GDP Increases in Third Quarter

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 3.3 percent in the third quarter of 2017, according to the “second” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter of 2017, real GDP increased 3.1 percent.

Gross Domestic Product, 3rd quarter 2017 (second estimate); Corporate Profits, 3rd quarter 2017 (preliminary estimate)

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.3 percent in the third quarter of 2017 (table 1), according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 3.1 percent.

Gross Domestic Product by State, 2nd quarter 2017

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased in 48 states and the District of Columbia in the second quarter of 2017, according to statistics on the geographic breakout of GDP released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Real GDP by state growth in the second quarter ranged from 8.3 percent in North Dakota to -0.7 percent in Iowa (table 1).

New Statistics Available on Activities of U.S. Multinational Enterprises

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis today released preliminary statistics on the worldwide activities of U.S. multinational enterprises and their foreign affiliates in 2015. These statistics offer details on the finances and operations of U.S.

Local Area Personal Income: 2016

| The BEA Wire

<

Local Area Personal Income, 2016

| News Release

Personal income grew in 2016 in 2,285 counties, fell in 795, and was unchanged in 33, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. On average, personal income rose 2.5 percent in 2016 in the metropolitan portion of the United States and rose 1.0 percent in the nonmetropolitan portion. Personal income growth in 2016 ranged from -40.8 percent in Kenedy County, Texas to 27.1 percent in Tillman County, Oklahoma.

September 2017 Trade Gap is $43.5 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in September 2017 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $42.8 billion in August (revised) to $43.5 billion in September, as imports increased more than exports. The previously published August deficit was $42.4 billion. The goods deficit increased $0.6 billion in September to $65.4 billion. The services surplus decreased $…