February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, September 2017

| News Release

U.S. Census Bureau U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis NEWS U.S. Department of Commerce * Washington, DC 20230 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN GOODS AND SERVICES September 2017 The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that the goods and services deficit was $43.5 billion in September, up $0.7 billion from $42.8 billion in…

Gross Domestic Product by Industry: Second Quarter 2017 Annual Update: 2014 through First Quarter 2017

| The BEA Wire

Mining; professional, scientific, and technical services; and health care and social assistance were the leading contributors to the increase in U.S. economic growth in the second quarter of 2017. Overall, 17 of 22 industry groups contributed to the 3.1 percent increase in real GDP in the second quarter.

Gross Domestic Product by Industry, 2nd quarter 2017 and annual update

| News Release

Mining; professional, scientific, and technical services; and health care and social assistance were the leading contributors to the increase in U.S. economic growth in the second quarter of 2017. According to gross domestic product (GDP) by industry statistics released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, 17 of 22 industry groups contributed to the overall 3.1 percent increase in real GDP in the second quarter.

Consumer Spending Rises in September

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased 0.4 percent in September after increasing 0.2 percent in August. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.4 percent in September after increasing 0.1 percent in August.

Personal Income and Outlays, September 2017

| News Release

Personal income increased $66.9 billion (0.4 percent) in September according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $53.0 billion (0.4 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $136.0 billion (1.0 percent). Real DPI decreased less than 0.1 percent in September and Real PCE increased 0.6 percent. The PCE price index increased 0.4 percent.

GDP Increases in Third Quarter

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 3.0 percent in the third quarter of 2017, according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter of 2017, real GDP increased 3.1 percent.

GDP highlights

The increase in real GDP reflected increases in consumer spending, inventory investment, business investment, and exports. A notable offset to these increases was a decrease in housing…

Gross Domestic Product, 3rd quarter 2017 (advance estimate)

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.0 percent in the third quarter of 2017 (table 1), according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 3.1 percent. The Bureau emphasized that the third-quarter advance estimate released today is based on source data that are incomplete or subject to further revision by the source agency (see “Source Data for…

Gross Domestic Product for the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands (CNMI), 2016

| News Release

This release is available as a PDF download.

 

CNMI GDP Increases in 2016

| The BEA Wire

Today, the Bureau of Economic Analysis is releasing estimates of gross domestic product for the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands for 2016, in addition to estimates of GDP by industry and compensation by industry for 2015. These estimates were developed under the Statistical Improvement Program funded by the Office of Insular Affairs of the U.S. Department of the Interior.

Revised estimates of GDP for 2013 to 2015, as well…

August 2017 Trade Gap is $42.4 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit decreased in August 2017 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit decreased from $43.6 billion in July (revised) to $42.4 billion in August, as exports increased and imports decreased. The previously published July deficit was $43.7 billion. The goods deficit decreased $0.9 billion in August to $64.4 billion. The services surplus increased $0.3…