February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

Prototype Gross Domestic Product for Puerto Rico, 2012–2018

| The BEA Wire

The Bureau of Economic Analysis on Monday released prototype annual estimates of gross domestic product for Puerto Rico for 2012 to 2018. This release represents another major step by the Bureau to develop comprehensive economic accounts for Puerto Rico that are consistent with international guidelines and that are directly comparable to data for other states and countries.

In conjunction with this release, BEA is requesting feedback…

Coming Monday: Prototype GDP Statistics for Puerto Rico

| The BEA Wire

BEA will release – for the first time – prototype statistics showing gross domestic product and its components for Puerto Rico at 11 a.m. Eastern time on Monday, September 28.

The prototype GDP statistics in the report will cover the years 2012-2018 and will include the components of GDP: consumer spending, private fixed investment, private inventory investment, imports and exports, and government spending.

Personal Income by State, 2nd Quarter 2020

| The BEA Wire

State personal income increased 34.2 percent at an annual rate in the second quarter of 2020, an acceleration from the 4.1 percent increases in the first quarter. Personal income increased in every state and the District of Columbia ranging from 15.3 percent in the District of Columbia to 76.3 percent in Massachusetts.

Personal Income by State, 2nd Quarter 2020

| News Release

State personal income increased 34.2 percent at an annual rate in the second quarter of 2020, an acceleration from the 4.1 percent increases in the first quarter. Personal income increased in every state and the District of Columbia ranging from 15.3 percent in the District of Columbia to 76.3 percent in Massachusetts.

U.S. Current Account Deficit Widens In Second Quarter 2020

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. current account deficit, which reflects the combined balances on trade in goods and services and income flows between U.S. residents and residents of other countries, widened by $59.0 billion, or 52.9 percent, to $170.5 billion in the second quarter of 2020. The widening reflected an expanded deficit on goods and reduced surpluses on primary income and on services. The second quarter deficit was 3.5 percent of current dollar gross…

U.S. International Transactions, Second Quarter 2020

| News Release

The U.S. current account deficit widened by $59.0 billion, or 52.9 percent, to $170.5 billion in the second quarter of 2020, according to statistics from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The revised first quarter deficit was $111.5 billion. The second quarter deficit was 3.5 percent of current dollar gross domestic product, up from 2.1 percent in the first quarter.

Second Quarter Industry, State GDP Stats Come Earlier This Year

| The BEA Wire

BEA is speeding up by weeks the release of industry and state statistics that will provide a powerful tool for analyzing the second quarter’s rapid shifts in U.S. economic activity.

July 2020 Trade Gap is $63.6 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in July 2020 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $53.5 billion in June (revised) to $63.6 billion in July, as imports increased more than exports. The previously published June deficit was $50.7 billion. The goods deficit increased $9.3 billion in July to $80.9 billion. The services surplus decreased $0.8 billion in July…

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, July 2020

| News Release

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in July 2020 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $53.5 billion in June (revised) to $63.6 billion in July, as imports increased more than exports. The previously published June deficit was $50.7 billion. The goods deficit increased $9.3 billion in July to $80.9 billion. The services surplus decreased $0.8 billion in July to…

Personal Income and Outlays, July 2020

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased 0.4 percent while consumer spending increased 1.9 percent in July, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.