February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

Gross Domestic Product for the U.S. Virgin Islands (USVI), 2019

| The BEA Wire

The estimates of GDP for the U.S. Virgin Islands show that real GDP—GDP adjusted to remove price changes— increased 2.2 percent in 2019 after increasing 1.6 percent in 2018.

The increase in real GDP reflected increases in private fixed investment, exports, and consumer spending. These increases were partly offset by decreases in inventory investment and government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction item in the calculation of…

Gross Domestic Product for the U.S. Virgin Islands (USVI), 2019

| News Release

The estimates of GDP for the USVI show that real GDP—GDP adjusted to remove price changes—increased 2.2 percent in 2019 after increasing 1.6 percent in 2018. This release also includes the results of a comprehensive update of the territorial economic accounts.

BEA Updates Tool for Economic Impact Studies

| The BEA Wire

How would expanding a community college, building a new factory, or increasing government spending on roads impact your local economy? BEA has a tool that can help answer questions like these.

Local planners, businesspeople, and policymakers use the Regional Input-Output Modeling System to predict the potential economic impacts of a variety of projects and events, even natural disasters like hurricanes. The modeling system, known as…

March 2021 Trade Gap is $74.4 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in March 2021 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $70.5 billion in February (revised) to $74.4 billion in March, as imports increased more than exports. The previously published February deficit was $71.1 billion. The goods deficit increased $3.6 billion in March to $91.6 billion. The services surplus decreased $0.3…

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, March 2021

| News Release

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in March 2021 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $70.5 billion in February (revised) to $74.4 billion in March, as imports increased more than exports. The previously published February deficit was $71.1 billion. The goods deficit increased $3.6 billion in March to $91.6 billion. The services surplus decreased $0.3 billion…

Personal Income and Outlays, March 2021

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased $4.21 trillion, or 21.1 percent at a monthly rate, while consumer spending increased $616.0 billion, or 4.2 percent, in March. Economic impact payments established by the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021, which was enacted on March 11, 2021, were distributed. In addition to presenting estimates for March 2021, these highlights provide comparisons to February 2020, the last month before the onset of the COVID-19…

Personal Income and Outlays, March 2021

| News Release

Personal income increased $4.21 trillion, or 21.1 percent at a monthly rate, while consumer spending increased $616.0 billion, or 4.2 percent, in March. Economic impact payments established by the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021, which was enacted on March 11, 2021, were distributed.

Gross Domestic Product, First Quarter 2021

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 6.4 percent in the first quarter of 2021, reflecting the continued economic recovery, reopening of establishments, and continued government response related to the COVID-19 pandemic. In the first quarter, government assistance payments, such as direct economic impact payments, expanded unemployment benefits, and Paycheck Protection Program loans, were distributed to households…

Gross Domestic Product, First Quarter 2021 (Advance Estimate)

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 6.4 percent in the first quarter of 2021, reflecting the continued economic recovery, reopening of establishments, and continued government response related to the COVID-19 pandemic. In the first quarter, government assistance payments, such as direct economic impact payments, expanded unemployment benefits, and Paycheck Protection Program loans, were distributed to households and…

New Data on the Sources of Economic Growth

| The BEA Wire

BEA and the Bureau of Labor Statistics have updated and expanded their joint data set showing sources of growth or decline in industries and how those sources affect the U.S. economy overall. New detail was added about the contributions of information technology and other types of capital assets.