February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

BEA's First Official County GDP Stats

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased in 2,375 counties, decreased in 717, and was unchanged in 21 in 2018, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The percentage change in real GDP ranged from 86.5 percent in Jackson County, WV, to -44.0 percent in Grant County, ND.

Local Area Gross Domestic Product, 2018

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased in 2,375 counties, decreased in 717, and was unchanged in 21 in 2018, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The percentage change in real GDP ranged from 86.5 percent in Jackson County, WV, to -44.0 percent in Grant County, ND. In 2020, data for counties and metropolitan areas will be contained in a news release called Gross Domestic Product by County…

Guest Blog: New County GDP Data Will Help County Leaders Strategize and Plan

| The BEA Wire

By Teryn Zmuda, Director of Research and Data Analytics at the National Association of Counties.

A new county economic measure will be released this week, providing an in-depth and detailed look into county economies — allowing county leaders to identify areas of strength and opportunity within the county lines. The measure is a county-level estimate of gross domestic product, or GDP, which will be released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis…

October 2019 Trade Gap is $47.2 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit decreased in October 2019 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit decreased from $51.1 billion in September (revised) to $47.2 billion in October, as imports decreased more than exports. The previously published September deficit was $52.5 billion. The goods deficit decreased $3.7 billion in October to $68.0 billion. The services surplus increased $…

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, October 2019

| News Release

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit decreased in October 2019 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit decreased from $51.1 billion in September (revised) to $47.2 billion in October, as imports decreased more than exports. The previously published September deficit was $52.5 billion. The goods deficit decreased $3.7 billion in October to $68.0 billion. The services surplus increased $0.2…

Personal Income and Outlays: October 2019

| The BEA Wire

Personal income showed virtually no change in October after increasing 0.3 percent in September. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.4 percent in October after increasing 0.1 percent in September.

Personal Income and Outlays, October 2019

| News Release

Personal income showed virtually no change in October after increasing 0.3 percent in September. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.4 percent in October after increasing 0.1 percent in September.

GDP Increases in Third Quarter

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.1 percent in the third quarter of 2019, according to the “second” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The growth rate was 0.2 percentage point higher than the “advance” estimate released in October. In the second quarter, real GDP rose 2.0 percent.

Gross Domestic Product, Third Quarter 2019 (Second Estimate); Corporate Profits, Third Quarter 2019 (Preliminary Estimate)

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.1 percent in the third quarter of 2019, according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 2.0 percent. Profits from current production (corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments) increased $4.6 billion in the third quarter, compared with an increase of $75.8…

First Official County GDP Stats Coming Dec. 12

| The BEA Wire

The size of every county’s economy with industry detail will be officially released for the first time by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis on Dec. 12.  

BEA will estimate annual gross domestic product, or GDP, for the years 2001 through 2018 for more than 3,000 counties. The data will include contributions to GDP by 34 industries, such as manufacturing, retail trade, and health and social assistance.