February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

Value of Foreign Investment in the U.S. Increased More than Value of U.S. Investment Abroad in 2011

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. net international investment position at yearend 2011 was –$4,030.3 billion (preliminary), as the value of foreign investment in the United States exceeded the value of U.S. investment abroad. At yearend 2010, the U.S. net international investment position was –$2,473.6 billion (revised).

Increases in the prices of U.S. Treasury bonds and declines in foreign stock prices raised the value of foreign investment in the…

U.S. International Investment Position, 2011

| News Release

The U.S. net international investment position at yearend 2011 was -$4,030.3 billion (preliminary), as the value of foreign investment in the United States continued to exceed the value of U.S. investment abroad (table 1). At yearend 2010, the U.S. net international investment position was -$2,473.6 billion (revised). The -$1,556.7 billion change in the U.S.

New Global Guidelines Offer 'How To' for More Consistent and Reliable Data

| The BEA Wire

Globalization, the financial crisis, the Great Recession, and Europe’s fiscal problems underscore just how important it is for countries to produce timely, accurate, and consistent data. Information on real gross domestic product, inflation, balance sheets, and international trade are essential to assessing cross-country effects and coordinating effective monetary, fiscal, regulatory, and trade policies.

New Study Provides Profile of U.S. Firms that Export and Import Services

| The BEA Wire

Data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) show that the United States has historically maintained a trade surplus in private services.  So what types of firms are involved in this kind of trade abroad?  Thanks to a new BEA study we have a better understanding of the kinds of American companies that export and import services.

Here are some of the key findings:

Travel and Tourism Spending Increases

| The BEA Wire

Inflation-adjusted spending on travel and tourism increased at an annual rate of 3.4 percent in the first three months of this year, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reports. It had increased at a rate of 4.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2011.  The slightly slower pace in the first quarter mostly reflected less spending on air travel and on lodging.

Still, travel and tourism spending has grown faster than the U.S.…

Travel and Tourism Satellite Accounts, 1st quarter 2012

| News Release

Real spending on travel and tourism increased at an annual rate of 3.4 percent in the first quarter of 2012 after increasing 4.4 percent (revised) in the fourth quarter of 2011. By comparison, growth in real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 1.9 percent (second estimate) in the first quarter after increasing 3.0 percent in the fourth quarter. The increase in real spending on tourism primarily reflected increases in traveler…

Current-Account Deficit Increases in First Quarter

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. current-account deficit—the combined balances on trade in goods and services, income, and net unilateral current transfers—increased to $137.3 billion (preliminary) in the first quarter of 2012 from $118.7 billion (revised) in the fourth quarter of 2011. As a percentage of U.S. gross domestic product, the deficit increased to 3.6 percent from 3.1 percent. The previously published current-account deficit for the fourth quarter was $…

U.S. International Transactions, 1st quarter 2012

| News Release

NOTE: See the navigation bar at the right side of the news release text for links to data tables, contact personnel and their telephone numbers, and supplementary materials.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah P. Scott: (202) 606-9286 (Data) Paul W. Farello: (202) 606-9561 (…

What is the Value of Household Work?

| The BEA Wire

The Nobel Prize winner Simon Kuznets presented an original set of estimates to Congress in 1934 that contained a number of caveats about what was omitted from the calculation of national income (and later from the calculation of gross domestic product) that made it an imperfect measure of welfare.

April Trade Gap is $50.1 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit decreased in April 2012, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit decreased from $52.6 billion (revised) in March to $50.1 billion in April, as imports decreased more than exports. The previously published March deficit was $51.8 billion. The goods deficit decreased $2.7 billion from March to $64.8 billion in April, and the services surplus decreased…