February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

Personal Income and Outlays, April 2022

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased $89.3 billion, or 0.4 percent at a monthly rate, while consumer spending increased $152.3 billion, or 0.9 percent, in April. The increase in personal income primarily reflected an increase in compensation. The personal saving rate (that is, personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income) was 4.4 percent in April, compared with 5.0 percent in March.

Personal Income and Outlays, April 2022

| News Release

Personal income increased $89.3 billion, or 0.4 percent at a monthly rate, while consumer spending increased $152.3 billion, or 0.9 percent, in April. The increase in personal income primarily reflected an increase in compensation. The personal saving rate (that is, personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income) was 4.4 percent in April, compared with 5.0 percent in March.

Gross Domestic Product, First Quarter 2022 (Second Estimate) Corporate Profits, First Quarter 2022 (Preliminary Estimate)

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 1.5 percent in the first quarter of 2022, following an increase of 6.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021. The decrease was revised down 0.1 percentage point from the “advance” estimate released in April. In the first quarter, there was a resurgence of COVID-19 cases from the Omicron variant and decreases in government pandemic assistance payments. For more details, including…

Gross Domestic Product (Second Estimate) and Corporate Profits (Preliminary), First Quarter 2022

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 1.5 percent in the first quarter of 2022, following an increase of 6.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021. The decrease was revised down 0.1 percentage point from the "advance" estimate released in April. In the first quarter, there was a resurgence of COVID-19 cases from the Omicron variant and decreases in government pandemic assistance payments.

March 2022 Trade Gap is $109.8 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in March 2022 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $89.8 billion in February (revised) to $109.8 billion in March, as imports increased more than exports. The previously published February deficit was $89.2 billion. The goods deficit increased $20.4 billion in March to $128.1 billion. The services surplus increased $0.4…

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, March 2022

| News Release

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in March 2022 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $89.8 billion in February (revised) to $109.8 billion in March, as imports increased more than exports. The previously published February deficit was $89.2 billion. The goods deficit increased $20.4 billion in March to $128.1 billion. The services surplus increased $0.4…

Personal Income and Outlays, March 2022

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased $107.2 billion, or 0.5 percent at a monthly rate, while consumer spending increased $185.0 billion, or 1.1 percent, in March. The increase in personal income primarily reflected an increase in compensation. The personal saving rate (that is, personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income) was 6.2 percent in March, compared with 6.8 percent in February.

Personal Income and Outlays, March 2022

| News Release

Personal income increased $107.2 billion, or 0.5 percent at a monthly rate, while consumer spending increased $185.0 billion, or 1.1 percent, in March. The increase in personal income primarily reflected an increase in compensation. The personal saving rate (that is, personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income) was 6.2 percent in March, compared with 6.8 percent in February.

Gross Domestic Product, First Quarter 2022

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the first quarter of 2022, following an increase of 6.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021. In the first quarter, there was a resurgence of COVID-19 cases from the Omicron variant and decreases in government pandemic assistance payments. For more details, including source data, see the Technical Note and Federal Recovery Programs and BEA Statistics.

Gross Domestic Product, First Quarter 2022 (Advance Estimate)

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the first quarter of 2022, following an increase of 6.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021. In the first quarter, there was a resurgence of COVID-19 cases from the Omicron variant and decreases in government pandemic assistance payments.