February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

2020 Trade Gap is $681.7 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. international trade deficit increased in 2020 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $576.9 billion in 2019 to $681.7 billion in 2020, as exports decreased more than imports. As a percentage of U.S. gross domestic product, the goods and services deficit was 3.3 percent in 2020, up from 2.7 percent in 2019. The goods deficit increased from $864.3 billion in 2019 to $915…

January 2021 Trade Gap is $68.2 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in January 2021 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $67.0 billion in December (revised) to $68.2 billion in January, as imports increased more than exports. The previously published December deficit was $66.6 billion. The goods deficit increased $1.3 billion in January to $85.4 billion. The services surplus increased $0.…

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, January 2021

| News Release

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in January 2021 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $67.0 billion in December (revised) to $68.2 billion in January, as imports increased more than exports. The previously published December deficit was $66.6 billion. The goods deficit increased $1.3 billion in January to $85.4 billion. The services surplus increased $0.1…

Personal Income and Outlays, January 2021

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased 10.0 percent (monthly rate) while consumer spending increased 2.4 percent in January as provisions of the Coronavirus Response and Relief Supplemental Appropriations (CRRSA) Act enacted on December 27, 2020, began to take effect.

Personal Income and Outlays, January 2021

| News Release

Personal income increased 10.0 percent (monthly rate) while consumer spending increased 2.4 percent in January as provisions of the Coronavirus Response and Relief Supplemental Appropriations (CRRSA) Act enacted on December 27, 2020, began to take effect.

Gross Domestic Product, Fourth Quarter and Year 2020

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 4.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2020, reflecting both the continued economic recovery from the sharp declines earlier in the year and the ongoing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, including new restrictions and closures that took effect in some areas of the United States. The increase was 0.1 percentage point higher than the “advance” estimate released in January. In the…

Gross Domestic Product, Fourth Quarter and Year 2020 (Second Estimate)

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 4.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2020, reflecting both the continued economic recovery from the sharp declines earlier in the year and the ongoing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, including new restrictions and closures that took effect in some areas of the United States. The increase was 0.1 percentage point higher than the “advance” estimate released in January. In the third…

Gross Domestic Product for Guam, 2019

| News Release

The estimates of GDP for Guam show that real GDP—GDP adjusted to remove price changes—increased 2.0 percent in 2019. This release also includes the results of a comprehensive update of the territorial economic accounts.

Gross Domestic Product for Guam, 2019

| The BEA Wire

The estimates of GDP for Guam show that real GDP—GDP adjusted to remove price changes—increased 2.0 percent in 2019.

2020 Trade Gap is $678.7 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. international trade deficit increased in 2020 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $576.9 billion in 2019 to $678.7 billion in 2020, as exports decreased more than imports. As a percentage of U.S. gross domestic product, the goods and services deficit was 3.2 percent in 2020, up from 2.7 percent in 2019. The goods deficit increased from $864.3 billion in 2019 to $915…