February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, May 2020

| News Release

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in May 2020 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $49.8 billion in April (revised) to $54.6 billion in May, as exports decreased more than imports. The previously published April deficit was $49.4 billion. The goods deficit increased $4.2 billion in May to $76.1 billion. The services surplus decreased $0.6 billion in May to $…

New Foreign Direct Investment in the United States, 2019

| The BEA Wire

Expenditures by foreign direct investors to acquire, establish, or expand U.S. businesses totaled $194.7 billion in 2019, down 37.7 percent from $312.5 billion in 2018.

New Foreign Direct Investment in the United States, 2019

| News Release

Expenditures by foreign direct investors to acquire, establish, or expand U.S. businesses totaled $194.7 billion in 2019, down 37.7 percent from $312.5 billion in 2018.

U.S. International Investment Position Year 2019

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. net international investment position, the difference between U.S. residents’ foreign financial assets and liabilities, was –$11.05 trillion at the end of 2019, according to statistics released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). Assets totaled $29.15 trillion and liabilities were $40.20 trillion. At the end of 2018, the net investment position was –$9.67 trillion.

U.S. International Investment Position First Quarter 2020

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. net international investment position, the difference between U.S. residents’ foreign financial assets and liabilities, was –$12.06 trillion at the end of the first quarter of 2020, according to statistics released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Assets totaled $26.77 trillion and liabilities were $38.82 trillion. At the end of the fourth quarter of 2019, the net investment position was –$11.05 trillion.

U.S. International Investment Position, First Quarter 2020, Year 2019, and Annual Update

| News Release

The U.S. net international investment position, the difference between U.S. residents’ foreign financial assets and liabilities, was –$12.06 trillion at the end of the first quarter of 2020, according to statistics released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). Assets totaled $26.77 trillion and liabilities were $38.82 trillion. At the end of the fourth quarter of 2019, the net investment position was –$11.05 trillion.

Personal Income and Outlays, May 2020

| The BEA Wire

Personal Income Personal income decreased 4.2 percent while consumer spending increased 8.2 percent in May, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Personal Income and Outlays: May 2020

| News Release

Personal income decreased 4.2 percent while consumer spending increased 8.2 percent in May, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Gross Domestic Product, First Quarter 2020

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased 5.0 percent in the first quarter of 2020, according to the “third” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The decline is the same as in the “second” estimate released in May. In the fourth quarter of 2019, real GDP increased 2.1 percent. For more information, see the Technical Note.

Gross Domestic Product, 1st Quarter 2020 (Third Estimate); Corporate Profits, 1st Quarter 2020 (Revised Estimate)

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased 5.0 percent in the first quarter of 2020, according to the “third” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The decline is the same as in the “second” estimate released in May. In the fourth quarter of 2019, real GDP increased 2.1 percent.