February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by State: Fourth Quarter 2017

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased in 47 states and the District of Columbia in the fourth quarter of 2017. The percent change in real GDP ranged from 5.2 percent in Texas to –1.3 percent in North Dakota.

Foreign Direct Investment by Country and Industry, 2016

| News Release

Outward and Inward U.S. foreign direct investment continued to grow in 2016. The U.S. direct investment position abroad valued at historical cost grew 5.6 percent to $5,332.2 billion, compared with an average annual growth rate of 8.2 percent in 2006–2015. The foreign direct investment position in the United States valued at historical cost grew 12.8 percent to $3,725.4 billion, compared with an average annual growth rate of 6.7 percent in 2006–…

Gross Domestic Product by State, 4th quarter 2017 and annual 2017 (preliminary)

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased in 47 states and the District of Columbia in the fourth quarter of 2017. The percent change in real GDP ranged from 5.2 percent in Texas to –1.3 percent in North Dakota.

March 2018 Trade Gap is $49.0 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit decreased in March 2018 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit decreased from $57.7 billion in February (revised) to $49.0 billion in March, as exports increased and imports decreased. The previously published February deficit was $57.6 billion. The goods deficit decreased $7.5 billion in March to $69.5 billion. The services surplus increased $1.3…

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, March 2018

| News Release

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit decreased in March 2018 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit decreased from $57.7 billion in February(revised) to $49.0 billion in March,as exports increased and imports decreased. The previously published February deficit was $57.6 billion. The goods deficit decreased $7.5 billion in March to $69.5 billion. The services surplus increased $1.3…

Real Consumer Spending Increases in March

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased 0.3 percent in March, the same increase as in February. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.2 percent in March after increasing 0.4 percent in February.

Personal Income and Outlays, March 2018

| News Release

Personal income increased $47.8 billion (0.3 percent) in March according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $39.8 billion (0.3 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $61.7 billion (0.4 percent).

GDP Increases in First Quarter

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.3 percent in the first quarter of 2018, according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2017, real GDP increased 2.9 percent.

Gross Domestic Product, 1st quarter 2018 (advance estimate)

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.3 percent in the first quarter of 2018, according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2017, real GDP increased 2.9 percent.

Gross Domestic Product by Industry: Fourth Quarter 2017

| The BEA Wire

Durable goods manufacturing; construction; and professional, scientific, and technical services were the leading contributors to the increase in U.S. economic growth in the fourth quarter of 2017. Overall, 16 of 22 industry groups contributed to the 2.9 percent increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter.