February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

Gross Domestic Product by Industry, 4th quarter and annual 2017

| News Release

Durable goods manufacturing; construction; and professional, scientific, and technical services were the leading contributors to the increase in U.S. economic growth in the fourth quarter of 2017. According to gross domestic product (GDP) by industry statistics released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, 16 of 22 industry groups contributed to the overall 2.9 percent increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter.

February 2018 Trade Gap is $57.6 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in February 2018 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $56.7 billion in January (revised) to $57.6 billion in February, as imports increased more than exports. The previously published January deficit was $56.6 billion. The goods deficit increased $0.3 billion in February to $77.0 billion. The services surplus decreased $0…

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, February 2018

| News Release

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in February 2018 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $56.7 billion in January (revised) to $57.6 billion in February, as imports increased more than exports. The previously published January deficit was $56.6 billion. The goods deficit increased $0.3 billion in February to $77.0 billion. The services surplus decreased $0.6…

U.S. Net International Investment Position Decreased in Fourth Quarter

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. net international investment position decreased to −$7,845.8 billion (preliminary) at the end of the fourth quarter from −$7,739.7 billion (revised) at the end of the third quarter. The $106.1 billion decrease reflected net financial transactions of –$52.4 billion and net other changes in position, such as price and exchange-rate changes, of –$53.8 billion.

U.S. International Investment Position, 4th quarter and year 2017

| News Release

The U.S. net international investment position decreased to -$7,845.8 billion (preliminary) at the end of the fourth quarter from -$7,739.7 billion (revised) at the end of the third quarter. The $106.1 billion decrease reflected net financial transactions of –$52.4 billion and net other changes in position, such as price and exchange-rate changes, of -$53.8 billion.

Personal Saving Increases in February

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased 0.4 percent in February, the same increase as in January. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.5 percent in February after increasing 0.6 percent in January.

Personal Income and Outlays, February 2018

| News Release

Personal income increased 0.4 percent in February, the same increase as in January. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.5 percent in February after increasing 0.6 percent in January.

GDP Increases in Fourth Quarter

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2017, according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 3.2 percent.

Gross Domestic Product, 4th quarter and annual 2017 (third estimate); Corporate Profits, 4th quarter and annual 2017

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2017 (table 1), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 3.2 percent.

State Personal Income Rises in 2017

| The BEA Wire

State personal income increased 3.1 percent on average in 2017, after increasing 2.3 percent in 2016. In 2017, personal income increased in all states and the District of Columbia except one, North Dakota. The percent change in personal income across all states ranged from 4.8 percent in Washington to -0.3 percent in North Dakota.