February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

Real Consumer Spending Rises in January

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased 0.3 percent in January after remaining flat in December, in part reflecting increases in Medicaid and other government social benefits due to the Affordable Care Act (ACA). Excluding all special factors, personal income rose 0.2 percent in January, following a decrease of 0.1 percent in December.

Current-dollar disposable personal income (DPI), after-tax income, increased 0.4 percent in January after…

Personal Income and Outlays, January 2014

| News Release

Personal income increased $43.9 billion, or 0.3 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $45.2 billion, or 0.4 percent, in January, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $48.1 billion, or 0.4 percent.

GDP Growth Decelerates in Fourth Quarter

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2013, according to the “second” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The growth rate was 0.8 percentage point less than the “advance” estimate released in January. In the third quarter, the growth rate was 4.1 percent.

Gross Domestic Product, 4th quarter and annual 2013 (second estimate)

| News Release

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 2.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2013 (that is, from the third quarter to the fourth quarter), according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.1 percent. The GDP estimate released today is based…

BEA Readies 2014 Rollout of New Economic Statistics

| The BEA Wire

BEA is releasing several new statistical products this year, part of an ongoing effort to better measure the dynamic U.S. economy and give businesses, policymakers and ordinary Americans additional tools to make informed decisions. Each report will be released at 8:30 a.m. eastern time on the date indicated.

REAL PERSONAL INCOME FOR STATE AND METROPOLITAN AREAS

December 2013 Trade Gap is $38.7 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in December 2013 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $34.6 billion in November (revised) to $38.7 billion in December as exports decreased and imports increased. The previously published November deficit was $34.3 billion. The goods deficit increased $4.6 billion from November to $58.8 billion in December; the services…

Personal Income Remained Flat in December

| The BEA Wire

Personal income remained flat in December after increasing 0.2 percent in November. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, also remained flat after rising 0.5 percent.

Current-dollar disposable personal income (DPI), after-tax income, remained flat in December after increasing 0.1 percent in November.

Real DPI, income adjusted for taxes and inflation, decreased 0.2 percent in December…

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2013

| News Release

Personal income increased $2.3 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) decreased $3.8 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, in December according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $44.1 billion, or 0.4 percent.

GDP Growth Slows in Fourth Quarter

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 3.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2013, according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). In the third quarter, the growth rate was 4.1 percent. For the full year 2013, real GDP increased 1.9 percent, compared with 2.8 percent in 2012.