Bureau of Economic Analysis
GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025
GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.
Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025
Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.
Principal Federal Economic Indicators
Noteworthy
The Latest
GDP Growth Picks up in Third Quarter
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 3.6 percent in the third quarter of 2013, according to the “second” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The growth rate was 0.8 percentage point more than the “advance” estimate released the previous month. In the second quarter, the growth rate was 2.5 percent.
Gross Domestic Product, 3rd quarter 2013 (second estimate); Corporate Profits, 3rd quarter 2013 (preliminary estimate)
Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 3.6 percent in the third quarter of 2013 (that is, from the second quarter to the third quarter), according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 2.5 percent. The GDP estimate released today is based…
Gross Domestic Product for Guam, 2011-2012
This release is available as a PDF download.
October 2013 Trade Gap is $40.6 Billion
The U.S. monthly international trade deficit decreased in October 2013 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit decreased from $43.0 billion in September (revised) to $40.6 billion in October as exports increased more than imports. The previously published September deficit was $41.8 billion. The goods deficit decreased $2.2 billion from September to $60.2 billion in October; the services…
Guam's Economy Grows 0.5 Percent in 2012
Newly published estimates for Guam show that real gross domestic product (GDP)—GDP adjusted to remove price changes—increased 0.5 percent in 2012, after decreasing 0.6 percent in 2011.
For comparison, real GDP for the United States (excluding the territories) increased 2.8 percent in 2012 and 1.8 percent in 2011.
In 2012, the increase in real GDP reflected an improvement in the trade balance. Exports of services—primarily…
Northern Mariana Islands' Economy Grows in 2012, Shrinks in 2011
Newly published estimates for the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands show that real Gross Domestic Product, GDP adjusted to remove price changes, increased 5.2 percent in 2012 after decreasing 6.8 percent in 2011.
For comparison, real GDP for the United States (excluding the territories) increased 2.8 percent in 2012 and 1.8 percent in 2011.
Gross Domestic Product for the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands (CNMI), 2011-2012
This release is available as a PDF download.
Some Local Economic Statistics Eliminated Due to 2013 Budget Sequester
You probably noticed that today’s release of the Bureau of Economic Analysis’ (BEA) local area personal income statistics is missing some detail that’s normally included. Why?
Local Area Personal Income: Metropolitan Areas, 2001–2012
Personal income growth slowed in 2012 in most of the nation’s 381 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs). Personal income growth slowed in 311 MSAs, accelerated in 65 MSAs, and remained unchanged in 5 MSAs. On average, MSA personal income rose 4.2 percent in 2012, after growing 6.0 percent in 2011. Personal income growth ranged from 12.1 percent in Midland, TX, to –1.6 percent in Yuma, AZ, one of only five MSAs where personal income declined…