Bureau of Economic Analysis
GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025
GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.
Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025
Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.
Principal Federal Economic Indicators
Noteworthy
The Latest
State Personal Income, Third Quarter 2018
State personal income increased 4.0 percent at an annual rate in the third quarter of 2018, an acceleration from the 3.4 percent increase in the second quarter. Personal income increased in all states and the District of Columbia. The percent change in personal income across all states ranged from 6.2 percent in Nevada and Washington to 2.1 percent in Missouri.
U.S. Current-Account Deficit Increases in Third Quarter 2018
The U.S. current-account deficit increased to $124.8 billion (preliminary) in the third quarter of 2018 from $101.2 billion (revised) in the second quarter of 2018. As a percentage of U.S. GDP, the deficit increased to 2.4 percent from 2.0 percent. The previously published current-account deficit for the second quarter was $101.5 billion.
U.S. International Transactions, Third Quarter 2018
The U.S. current-account deficit increased to $124.8 billion (preliminary) in the third quarter of 2018 from $101.2 billion (revised) in the second quarter of 2018. As a percentage of U.S. GDP, the deficit increased to 2.4 percent from 2.0 percent. The previously published current-account deficit for the second quarter was $101.5 billion.
GDP for the U.S. Virgin Islands Decreases in 2017 Following Hurricanes Irma and Maria
The estimates of gross domestic product for the U.S. Virgin Islands show that real GDP—GDP adjusted to remove price changes—decreased 1.7 percent in 2017 after increasing 0.9 percent in 2016. For comparison, real GDP for the United States (excluding the territories) increased 2.2 percent in 2017 after increasing 1.6 percent in 2016.
U.S. Virgin Islands GDP Decreases in 2017
The estimates of GDP for the USVI show that real GDP—GDP adjusted to remove price changes—decreased 1.7 percent in 2017 after increasing 0.9 percent in 2016. For comparison, real GDP for the United States (excluding the territories) increased 2.2 percent in 2017 after increasing 1.6 percent in 2016.
First County GDP Numbers Reveal Differences in Local Economies
Real gross domestic product increased in 1,931 of the nation’s counties and decreased in 1,159 counties in 2015, according to prototype statistics from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The inflation-adjusted data show GDP unchanged in 23 counties.
Prototype Gross Domestic Product by County, 2012-2015
The Bureau of Economic Analysis released prototype statistics for gross domestic product (GDP) by county in December 2018. The first official county GDP statistics will be released Dec. 12, 2019, and will include additional detail about industries in each county. The new annual data will cover 2001-2018.
October 2018 Trade Gap is $55.5 Billion
The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in October 2018 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $54.6 billion in September (revised) to $55.5 billion in October, as exports decreased and imports increased. The previously published September deficit was $54.0 billion. The goods deficit increased $0.9 billion in October to $78.1 billion. The services surplus…
U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, October 2018
The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in October 2018 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $54.6 billion in September (revised) to $55.5 billion in October, as exports decreased and imports increased. The previously published September deficit was $54.0 billion. The goods deficit increased $0.9 billion in October to $78.1 billion. The services surplus decreased…
First County GDP Numbers Coming Soon
The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis on Dec. 12 will provide an unprecedented look at the size and growth of more than 3,000 county economies across the nation.