February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

New Dates Set for Three Monthly Trade Reports

| The BEA Wire

New release dates are now set for a trio of monthly trade reports impacted by the effects of the recent lapse in federal funding.

New Dates for International Transactions, International Investment Position

| The BEA Wire

Bureau of Economic Analysis data on international trade and investment, as well as the United States' international investment position, will be released a few days later in March than originally scheduled, due to the effects of the recent lapse in federal funding.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by State: Third Quarter 2018

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased in 49 states and the District of Columbia in the third quarter of 2018. The percent change in real GDP in the third quarter ranged from 5.8 percent in Washington to 0.0 percent in West Virginia.   Wholesale trade, information services, finance and insurance, and retail trade were the leading contributors to the increase in real GDP nationally. Information services and retail trade were the…

Gross Domestic Product by State: Third Quarter 2018

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased in 49 states and the District of Columbia in the third quarter of 2018. The percent change in real GDP in the third quarter ranged from 5.8 percent in Washington to 0.0 percent in West Virginia.

Wholesale Trade Led Growth in the Third Quarter

| The BEA Wire

Wholesale trade; information; and finance and insurance were the leading contributors to the increase in U.S. economic growth in the third quarter of 2018. Overall, 19 of 22 industry groups contributed to the 3.4 percent increase in real GDP in the third quarter.

Gross Domestic Product by Industry: Third Quarter 2018

| News Release

Wholesale trade; information; and finance and insurance were the leading contributors to the increase in U.S. economic growth in the third quarter of 2018. According to gross domestic product (GDP) by industry statistics released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, 19 of 22 industry groups contributed to the overall 3.4 percent increase in real GDP in the third quarter.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2018; Personal Income, January 2019

| News Release

Personal income decreased 0.1 percent in January after increasing 1.0 percent in December, the largest increase since December 2012. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.3 percent in January after increasing 0.5 percent in December.

New Dates Set for GDP, Personal Income, and International Trade

| The BEA Wire

Bureau of Economic Analysis data on U.S. gross domestic product, personal income and outlays, and international trade in goods and services that were delayed by the recent lapse in federal funding will be released in late February and early March.

November 2018 Trade Gap is $49.3 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit decreased in November 2018 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit decreased from $55.7 billion in October (revised) to $49.3 billion in November, as imports decreased more than exports. The previously published October deficit was $55.5 billion. The goods deficit decreased $6.7 billion in November to $71.6 billion. The services surplus decreased $0…

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, November 2018

| News Release

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit decreased in November 2018 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit decreased from $55.7 billion in October (revised) to $49.3 billion in November, as imports decreased more than exports. The previously published October deficit was $55.5 billion. The goods deficit decreased $6.7 billion in November to $71.6 billion. The services surplus decreased $0.3…