February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

Gross Domestic Product by State, Fourth Quarter 2018

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased in 49 states and the District of Columbia in the fourth quarter of 2018.  The percent change in real GDP in the fourth quarter ranged from 6.6 percent in Texas to 0.0 percent in Delaware. Wholesale trade, mining, and information services were the leading contributors to the increase in real GDP nationally. Mining and wholesale trade were the leading contributors to the …

Gross Domestic Product by State: Fourth Quarter and Annual 2018

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased in 49 states and the District of Columbia in the fourth quarter of 2018. The percent change in real GDP in the fourth quarter ranged from 6.6 percent in Texas to 0.0 percent in Delaware.

Real Consumer Spending Rises In March

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased 0.1 percent in March after increasing 0.2 percent in February. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.4 percent in March after increasing 0.3 percent in February.

Personal Income and Outlays, March 2019

| News Release

Personal income increased 0.1 percent in March after increasing 0.2 percent in February. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.4 percent in March after increasing 0.3 percent in February.

GDP Increases in First Quarter

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product increased 3.2 percent in the first quarter of 2019, according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2018, real GDP increased 2.2 percent.

Gross Domestic Product, First Quarter 2019 (Advance Estimate)

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 3.2 percent in the first quarter of 2019, according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2018, real GDP increased 2.2 percent.

Gross Domestic Product by Industry: Fourth Quarter 2018

| The BEA Wire

Wholesale trade; mining; and information were the leading contributors to the increase in U.S. economic growth in the fourth quarter of 2018. Overall, 15 of 22 industry groups contributed to the 2.2 percent increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter.

Gross Domestic Product by Industry: Fourth Quarter and Annual 2018

| News Release

Wholesale trade; mining; and information were the leading contributors to the increase in U.S. economic growth in the fourth quarter of 2018. Overall, 15 of 22 industry groups contributed to the 2.2 percent increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter.

February 2019 Trade Gap is $49.4 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit decreased in February 2019 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit decreased from $51.1 billion in January (revised) to $49.4 billion in February, as exports increased more than imports. The previously published January deficit was $51.1 billion. The goods deficit decreased $1.2 billion in February to $72.0 billion. The services surplus increased $0…

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, February 2019

| News Release

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit decreased in February 2019 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit decreased from $51.1 billion in January (revised) to $49.4 billion in February, as exports increased more than imports. The previously published January deficit was $51.1 billion. The goods deficit decreased $1.2 billion in February to $72.0 billion. The services surplus increased $0.5…