February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

May 2014 Trade Gap is $44.4 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit decreased in May 2014 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit decreased from $47.0 billion in April (revised) to $44.4 billion in May as exports increased and imports decreased. The previously published April deficit was $47.2 billion. The goods deficit decreased $2.4 billion from April to $63.3 billion in May; the services surplus increased $0.3…

BEA to Release Modified Regional Input-Output Model in 2015

| The BEA Wire

The Bureau of Economic Analysis plans to release in 2015 a modified economic model to replace the original Regional Input-Output Modeling System (RIMS II).  Cost savings will be realized because the modified model will be updated less frequently.

Much like RIMS II, the modified model will produce regional “multipliers” that can be used in economic impact studies to estimate the total economic impact of a project on a region.

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, May 2014

| News Release

NOTE: See the navigation bar at the right side of the news release text for a link to an important note about revisions to goods and services and the comprehensive restructuring of the International Economic Accounts. Also see links to data tables, contact personnel and their telephone numbers, and supplementary materials.

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Value of U.S. Assets Decreased but Value of U.S. Liabilities Increased in First Quarter 2014

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. net international investment position was -$5,539.3 billion (preliminary) at the end of the first quarter of 2014 as the value of U.S. liabilities exceeded the value of U.S. assets. At the end of the fourth quarter, the net position was -$5,383.0 billion (revised).

How BEA Regional Data is Used to Distribute Federal Funds to State, Local Governments

| The BEA Wire

Did you know that each year BEA regional economic statistics, such as annual personal income and per capita personal income are used to allocate billions of dollars in federal funds to states and local governments?  In fiscal year 2013, about $308 billion in federal funds were distributed under programs using BEA statistics in funding formulas.

U.S. International Investment Position, 1st quarter 2014, year 2013, and annual revisions

| News Release

Comprehensive Restructuring of the U.S. International Economic Accounts

In this release, BEA presents the U.S. international investment position (IIP) statistics for the first quarter of 2014 along with historical revisions and detailed annual statistics for 2013. These statistics include changes in positions resulting from annual financial transactions and other changes in position such as price changes, exchange-rate-changes, and…

Travel and Tourism Spending Turned Down in the First Quarter of 2014

| The BEA Wire

Real spending on travel and tourism turned down in the first quarter of 2014, decreasing at an annual rate of 1.0 percent after increasing 4.5 percent (revised) in the fourth quarter of 2013.  Growth in real gross domestic product (GDP) also experienced a down turn, decreasing 2.9 percent (third estimate) in the first quarter after increasing 2.6 percent in the fourth quarter.

Travel and Tourism Satellite Accounts, 1st quarter 2014

| News Release

Travel and Tourism Spending Turned Down in the First Quarter of 2014

Real spending on travel and tourism turned down in the first quarter of 2014, decreasing at an annual rate of 1.0 percent after increasing 4.5 percent (revised) in the fourth quarter of 2013. Growth in real gross domestic product (GDP) also experienced a downturn, decreasing 2.9 percent (third estimate) in the first quarter after increasing 2.6 percent in the fourth…

Personal Income Rises in May

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased 0.4 percent in May after increasing 0.3 percent in April. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.4 percent after increasing 0.3 percent.

Current-dollar disposable personal income (DPI), after-tax income, increased 0.4 percent in May, the same increase as in April.

Real DPI, income adjusted for taxes and inflation, increased0.2percent in May, the same…

Personal Income and Outlays, May 2014

| News Release

Personal income increased $58.8 billion, or 0.4 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $55.6 billion, or 0.4 percent, in May, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $18.3 billion, or 0.2 percent. In April, personal income increased $49.9 billion, or 0.3 percent, DPI increased $50.8 billion, or 0.4 percent, and PCE increased $2.3 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, based…