February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

March 2014 Trade Gap Is $40.4 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit decreased in March 2014 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit decreased from $41.9 billion in February (revised) to $40.4 billion in March as exports increased more than imports. The previously published February deficit was $42.3 billion. The goods deficit decreased $0.6 billion from February to $60.7 billion in March; the services surplus…

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, March 2014

| News Release

NOTE: See the navigation bar at the right side of the news release text for a link to an important note about upcoming revisions to goods and services and the comprehensive restructuring of the International Economic Accounts coming in June 2014. Also see links to data tables, contact personnel and their telephone numbers, and supplementary materials.

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BEA Restores Local Economic Statistics That Were Eliminated Due to 2013 Budget Sequester

| The BEA Wire

On May 5th, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) restored detailed estimates on employment, farm income and expenses, and personal current transfer receipts as well as expanded industrial detail for compensation and earning for 108 industries to its Local Area Personal Income (LAPI) program.

Real Consumer Spending Rises in March

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased 0.5 percent in March after increasing 0.4 percent in February. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.6 percent after increasing 0.3 percent.

Current-dollar disposable personal income (DPI), after-tax income, increased 0.5 percent in March after increasing 0.4 percent in February.

Real DPI, income adjusted for taxes and inflation, increased 0.3 percent in March…

Personal Income and Outlays, March 2014

| News Release

Personal income increased $78.4 billion, or 0.5 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $68.0 billion, or 0.5 percent, in March, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $107.2 billion, or 0.9 percent. In February, personal income increased $54.3 billion, or 0.4 percent, DPI increased $47.6 billion, or 0.4 percent, and PCE increased $54.7 billion, or 0.5 percent, based on…

GDP Growth Slows in First Quarter

| The BEA Wire

 Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 0.1 percent in the first quarter of 2014, according to the “advance” estimate released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2013, the growth rate was 2.6 percent.

First-quarter GDP highlights The slowdown in real GDP growth reflected:

Gross Domestic Product, 1st quarter 2014 (advance estimate)

| News Release

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 0.1 percent in the first quarter (that is, from the fourth quarter of 2013 to the first quarter of 2014), according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

New Quarterly Statistics Detail Industries' Economic Performance

| The BEA Wire

The Bureau of Economic Analysis released today – for the first time – gross domestic product (GDP) by industry for 22 industry sectors on a quarterly basis. These new statistics fill an important gap in U.S. federal economic statistics by providing timely information on how individual industries contributed to U.S. economic growth in a given quarter.

New Commerce Data Supports Better Economic Decision-Making by Businesses and Policymakers

| The BEA Wire

This week, the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released two new data products that will help American businesses, consumers, policymakers and academia gain important information about the performance of the U.S. economy.

New BEA Data Proves Valuable for Retail Industry

| The BEA Wire

Guest blog post by Jack Kleinhenz, Ph.D., Chief Economist, National Retail Federation

NRF is the world’s largest retail trade association, representing discount and department stores, home goods and specialty stores, Main Street merchants, grocers, wholesalers, chain restaurants and Internet retailers from the United States and more than 45 countries.