February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

GDP Increases in Fourth Quarter

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019, according to the “second” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The growth rate is the same as in the “advance” estimate released in January. In the third quarter, real GDP also increased 2.1 percent.

Gross Domestic Product, Fourth Quarter and Year 2019 (Second Estimate)

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019, according to the “second” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The growth rate is the same as in the “advance” estimate released in January. In the third quarter, real GDP also increased 2.1 percent.

Exploring the Space Economy

| The BEA Wire

BEA has launched a research project to measure the multibillion-dollar U.S. space economy, such as satellites, rocket launches, and benefits like GPS navigation here on Earth.

The goal is to create a prototype set of statistics showing the space sector’s impact on the national economy. We are researching how to measure both public programs and private endeavors, with emphasis on capturing the value of the expanding commercial space…

December 2019 Trade Gap is $48.9 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in December 2019 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $43.7 billion in November (revised) to $48.9 billion in December, as imports increased more than exports. The previously published November deficit was $43.1 billion. The goods deficit increased $5.1 billion in December to $69.7 billion. The services surplus decreased…

2019 Trade Gap is $616.8 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. international trade deficit decreased in 2019 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit decreased from $627.7 billion in 2018 to $616.8 billion in 2019, as imports decreased more than exports. As a percentage of U.S. gross domestic product, the goods and services deficit was 2.9 percent in 2019, down from 3.0 percent in 2018. The goods deficit decreased from $887.3 billion in 2018 to $…

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, December 2019

| News Release

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in December 2019 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $43.7 billion in November (revised) to $48.9 billion in December, as imports increased more than exports. The previously published November deficit was $43.1 billion. The goods deficit increased $5.1 billion in December to $69.7 billion. The services surplus decreased $0.…

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2019

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased 0.2 percent in December after increasing 0.4 percent in November. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.3 percent in December after increasing 0.4 percent in November.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2019

| News Release

Personal income increased 0.2 percent in December after increasing 0.4 percent in November. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.3 percent in December after increasing 0.4 percent in November.

GDP Increases in Fourth Quarter

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019, according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP also increased 2.1 percent. Fourth-quarter GDP highlights The fourth-quarter increase in real GDP reflected increases in consumer spending, government spending, housing investment, and exports which were partially offset by decreases in inventory…

Gross Domestic Product, Fourth Quarter and Year 2019 (Advance Estimate)

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019, according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP also increased 2.1 percent.