February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

Personal Income and Outlays, November 2019

| News Release

Personal income increased 0.5 percent in November after increasing 0.1 percent in October. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.4 percent in November after increasing 0.5 percent in October.

GDP Increases in Third Quarter

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.1 percent in the third quarter of 2019, according to the “third” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The growth rate was unrevised from the “second” estimate released in November. In the second quarter, real GDP rose 2.0 percent.

Gross Domestic Product, Third quarter 2019 (third estimate); Corporate Profits, Third quarter 2019 (revised estimate)

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.1 percent in the third quarter of 2019, according to the “third” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The growth rate was unrevised from the “second” estimate released in November. In the second quarter, real GDP rose 2.0 percent.

U.S. Current Account Deficit Narrows in Third Quarter 2019

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. current account deficit, which reflects the combined balances on trade in goods and services and income flows between U.S. residents and residents of other countries, narrowed by $1.1 billion, or 0.9 percent, to $124.1 billion in the third quarter of 2019. The narrowing mainly reflected a reduced deficit on goods and an expanded surplus on primary income. The third quarter deficit was 2.3 percent of current dollar gross domestic…

U.S. International Transactions, Third Quarter 2019

| News Release

The U.S. current account deficit narrowed by $1.1 billion, or 0.9 percent, to $124.1 billion in the third quarter of 2019, according to statistics from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The revised second quarter deficit was $125.2 billion. The third quarter deficit was 2.3 percent of current dollar gross domestic product, down less than 0.1 percent from the second quarter.

State Personal Income, Third Quarter 2019

| The BEA Wire

State personal income increased 3.8 percent at an annual rate in the third quarter of 2019, a deceleration from the 4.4 percent increase in the second quarter. The percent change in personal income across all states ranged from 15.2 percent in South Dakota to 1.9 percent in West Virginia and Wyoming.

State Personal Income, Third Quarter 2019

| News Release

State personal income increased 3.8 percent at an annual rate in the third quarter of 2019, a deceleration from the 4.4 percent increase in the second quarter. The percent change in personal income across all states ranged from 15.2 percent in South Dakota to 1.9 percent in West Virginia and Wyoming.

U.S. Virgin Islands GDP Increases 1.5 Percent in 2018

| The BEA Wire

The estimates of GDP for the U.S. Virgin Islands show that real GDP—GDP adjusted to remove price changes—increased 1.5 percent in 2018 after decreasing 0.6 percent in 2017. For comparison, real GDP for the United States (excluding the territories) increased 2.9 percent in 2018 after increasing 2.4 percent in 2017.

Gross Domestic Product for the U.S. Virgin Islands (USVI), 2018

| News Release

The estimates of GDP for the USVI show that real GDP—GDP adjusted to remove price changes—increased 1.5 percent in 2018 after decreasing 0.6 percent in 2017. For comparison, real GDP for the United States (excluding the territories) increased 2.9 percent in 2018 after increasing 2.4 percent in 2017.

A Look at Counties’ Economic Growth by Region

| The BEA Wire

The first official economic growth statistics for all U.S. counties show which industries contributed to growth from region to region and in counties large, medium, and small across the nation.  

These new Bureau of Economic Analysis statistics feature every county's gross domestic product – the value of goods and services produced within the county – and how much the inflation-adjusted GDP grew or decreased from the previous…