February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

Real Disposable Personal Income Rises in September

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased 0.3 percent in September after increasing 0.5 percent in August. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, showed no change in September after increasing 0.6 percent in August.

Personal Income and Outlays, September 2019

| News Release

Personal income increased 0.3 percent in September after increasing 0.5 percent in August. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, showed no change in September after increasing 0.6 percent in August.

GDP Increases in Third Quarter

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 1.9 percent in the third quarter of 2019, according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 2.0 percent.

Gross Domestic Product, Third Quarter 2019 (Advance Estimate)

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 1.9 percent in the third quarter of 2019, according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 2.0 percent.

Gross Domestic Product by Industry: Second Quarter 2019

| The BEA Wire

Professional, scientific, and technical services; real estate and rental and leasing; and mining were the leading contributors to the increase in U.S. economic growth in the second quarter of 2019. The private goods‐ and services‐producing industries, as well as the government sector, contributed to the increase. Overall, 14 of 22 industry groups contributed to the 2.0 percent increase in real GDP in the second quarter.

Gross Domestic Product by Industry: Second Quarter 2019

| News Release

Professional, scientific, and technical services; real estate and rental and leasing; and mining were the leading contributors to the increase in U.S. economic growth in the second quarter of 2019. The private goods‐ and services‐producing industries, as well as the government sector, contributed to the increase. Overall, 14 of 22 industry groups contributed to the 2.0 percent increase in real GDP in the second quarter.

Prototype Economic Statistics for Puerto Rico, 2012-2017

| News Release

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released for the first time prototype statistics for consumer spending, business investment, and trade in goods for Puerto Rico. These new economic data lay the groundwork for BEA to estimate the island's GDP. Currently, the annual statistics cover the time period from 2012 to 2017 and can be used to better gauge the performance of the Puerto Rico economy over that period.

Prototype Economic Statistics for Puerto Rico Now Available

| The BEA Wire

Today, the Bureau of Economic Analysis released prototype statistics for personal consumption expenditures, private fixed investment, and net exports of goods for Puerto Rico. These annual statistics cover the time period from 2012 to 2017.

The estimates released today are a major step toward the goal of producing gross domestic product (GDP) statistics for Puerto Rico that are consistent with international guidelines and that are…

Gross Domestic Product for Guam, 2018

| News Release

The estimates of GDP for Guam show that real GDP—GDP adjusted to remove price changes—decreased 0.3 percent in 2018 after increasing 0.2 percent in 2017. For comparison, real GDP for the United States (excluding the territories) increased 2.9 percent in 2018 after increasing 2.4 percent in 2017.

Guam GDP Decreases 0.3 Percent in 2018

| The BEA Wire

The estimates of GDP for Guam show that real GDP—GDP adjusted to remove price changes—decreased 0.3 percent in 2018 after increasing 0.2 percent in 2017. For comparison, real GDP for the United States (excluding the territories) increased 2.9 percent in 2018 after increasing 2.4 percent in 2017.