February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, June 2019

| News Release

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit decreased in June 2019 according to the U.S.Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit decreased from $55.3 billion in May (revised) to $55.2 billion in June, as imports decreased more than exports. The previously published May deficit was $55.5 billion. The goods deficit decreased $0.8 billion in June to $75.1 billion. The services surplus decreased $0.6 billion in June to $…

Real Disposable Income Rises in June

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased 0.4 percent in June, the same increase as in May. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.5 percent in June after increasing 0.2 percent in May.

Personal Income and Outlays: June 2019

| News Release

Personal income increased 0.4 percent in June, the same increase as in May. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, increased 0.5 percent in June after increasing 0.2 percent in May.

GDP Increases in Second Quarter

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product increased 2.1 percent in the second quarter of 2019, according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 3.1 percent.

Gross Domestic Product, Second Quarter 2019 (Advance Estimate) and Annual Update

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.1 percent in the second quarter of 2019, according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 3.1 percent.

Gross Domestic Product by State, First Quarter 2019

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased in all 50 states and the District of Columbia in the first quarter of 2019. The percent change in real GDP in the first quarter ranged from 5.2 percent in West Virginia to 1.2 percent in Hawaii.

Gross Domestic Product by State, First Quarter 2019

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased in all 50 states and the District of Columbia in the first quarter of 2019. The percent change in real GDP in the first quarter ranged from 5.2 percent in West Virginia to 1.2 percent in Hawaii.

Direct Investment by Country and Industry, 2018

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. direct investment abroad position, or cumulative level of investment, decreased $62.3 billion to $5.95 trillion at the end of 2018 from $6.01 trillion at the end of 2017. The decrease was due to the repatriation of accumulated prior earnings by U.S. multinationals from their foreign affiliates, largely in response to the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. The decrease reflected a $75.8 billion decrease in the position in Latin America and…

Direct Investment by Country and Industry, 2018

| News Release

The U.S. direct investment abroad position, or cumulative level of investment, decreased $62.3 billion to $5.95 trillion at the end of 2018 from $6.01 trillion at the end of 2017. The decrease was due to the repatriation of accumulated prior earnings by U.S. multinationals from their foreign affiliates, largely in response to the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. The decrease reflected a $75.8 billion decrease in the position in Latin America and…

Gross Domestic Product by Industry: First Quarter 2019

| The BEA Wire

Finance and insurance; retail trade; and health care and social assistance were the leading contributors to the increase in U.S. economic growth in the first quarter of 2019. Overall, 16 of 22 industry groups contributed to the 3.1 percent increase in real GDP in the first quarter.